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Posts mit dem Label Pressefreiheit werden angezeigt. Alle Posts anzeigen

2021-01-17

n-sphere hypermaps ⇒ cattle breeding

Have you ever noticed the advantage of real n-sphere hypermaps?

No?

That is very sad, because with hypermaps thou would understand, recognize, realize immediately,

  1. that alpine pastures for cattles offer little crop yield for humans;
  2. that mordern technical agricultureof is nearly impossible in hilly and mountainous impassable areas with rocks and small swamps inside and only 2% continuous flat area per hectare.
  3. that cattle breeding in certain climatic alpine mountainous regions has much lower risk as Agricultureof with poor hervests in worse case.
  4. that cattles transforrm & recycle low-calorie vegetarian naural grown food much better than humans or hunter mammals with a short intestine.
  5. that chances of success for cattle and sheep breeding are similarly much higher as profitable modern agriculture at Scottish Highlands in the marsh, around rual areas beside Loch Ness, on Outer Hebrides and on small isles (Inishbofin, Claire Island) near the Irish north-west coast.





2021-01-01

hard fact reality vs narrative story telling (playing) theater from the point of triggers

Introduction 

The meaning of triggers in this article according to information theory. 

https://pediaa.com/difference-between-semantics-and-pragmatics/

A trigger is an impulse that causes people or programmed machines to take certain actions after a message has been understood in both semantic and pragmatic context. Strong triggers include furthermore the feeling of high priority and generate a strong tendency to act, well as an awareness of the consequences of not acting now.

Some examples for triggers

  1. Weather is stormy and rainy (semantically and pragmatically understood) ⇒  
      (Trgger  (T)   
    ⇒  I have to open my umbrella

  2. Fire breaks out ⇒ 
      (Trgger  (T)   
    ⇒  Trigger fire alarm and call fire department

  3. FED is lowering prime interest rate from 2,25% to 0,5%. ⇒ 
      (Trgger  (T)   
     Let's get a cheap credut (loan) in US$ and 
    make classical leverage invest in Dow Jones & Nasdaq!



Detect hard fact reality vs story telling theater by observing behavior of trigger

When I was in the army long time ago, we learned several emergency commands / orders. One of that was 'AC-Alarm' (Atomic nuclear, biological or chemical are launched, so troops had to immediately Initiate protective suit and emergency measures)



Nobody was ever maling many funny jokes in that training, similiar to fire breaks out ⇒ fire alarm in the examples above. When observing the trigger behavior. everybody recognizes, that this is no playing game and a real dangerous situation. Same story, when people are infected with HIV (AIDS) Virus or (not so deadly) Malaria.

Well, when looking at the Coronavirus, triggers are too soft, negligently, inconsistent.
Remember all DioxinPlutoniumAnthrax incidents in the last 25 years, remember even Creutzfeldt–Jakob disease. triggers were much more hard and serious, even when there was never danger for many people in all that cases.

According the media Coronavirus has already killed hundreds of thousands of alleged dead, but nobody's reacting or triggering heavy casualties for real. People are still playing that game, but nobody takes / triggers that Coronavirus real serious / grievous.

2020-02-07

EPU Personenbetreuer in Vorarlberg & weiter stark (aber nicht mehr wachsend)

Im Jahr 2014 befasste ich mich rein privater Natur mit dem Wachstum / Entwicklung / Überhitzung der veschiedenen Wirtschaftssektoren, Sparten, Branchen, Fachgruppen, Berufsgruppen und sonstige kurzfristingen Trends und langfristiger Entwicklungen in den Bereichen Arbeit und Wirtschaft anhand des ganz konkreten Beispiels der Berufsgruppe Selbstständige Personenbetreuer.

Ich verfasste folgenden sehr kurzen Artikel auf meinem Blog hier dann dazu. Der Grund für gerade diese Berufsgruppe für jene Fallstudie war nicht etwa ein sozialer Hintergrund (z.B. arme ausgebeutete Scheinselbstständige im untersten Einkommenssegement)  oder ein rassistisches Motiv (es handelt sich bei Mitgliederinnen dieser Berufsgruppe vornehmlich um weibliche der Volksgruppe der Slawen zugehörige osteuropäische EU-Bürgerinnen), sondern ganz simpel und einfach die Tatsache, dass es in Österreich aufgrund der demographischen Entwicklungen in diesem Marktbereich sehr leicht einschätzen lässt, welche Nachfrage es durch immer mehr pflegebedürftige Pensionistinnen gibt und gleichzeitig welcher  Angebotsbedarf an Personenberteuerinnen (Pool an Betreuerinnen) dazu sich korrespondieren entwickelt.

Bis Anfang Jänner 2019 stiegen Angebot und Nachfrage in der Pflegebetreuung relativ konstant an (eine immer größer wachsende Anzahl von Pfelgebedürftigen mit immer exklusiveren Bedürfnissen stand korrelierend ein stetig wachsendes Angebot an Pflegeleistungen und immer mehr Betreuerinnen gegenüber).
Im fortschreitenden Jahr 2019 stagnierte allerdings die Angebotsseite deutlich zum 1. Mal seit Jahren und es gab kein sichtbares signifikantes Wachstum bei der Anzahl der sich anbietenden Personenbetreuerinnen.

Seit Anfang 2020 schrumpfte bereits die Angebotsseite sichbar. (sprich eine signifikante geringere Anzahl an vorhandenen selbstständigen Personenbetreuerinnen offerierte eindeutig nicht mehr derart manngfaltige Liestungsangebote, sondern viel mehr ein günstiges Standard-All-In Paket / Dienstleistung).


https://firmen.wko.at/Web/Ergebnis.aspx?StandortID=137&StandortName=Eisenstadt-Umgebung&Branche=45014&BranchenName=selbst%C3%A4ndige%20Personenbetreuer&CategoryID=0#


https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0Ajp8yYU5yBOBdEtMOUUxUHoyLWRQLW9GUUN5M3liSkE&usp=sharing

2020-01-14

Staatsschulden Deutschland

Laut Statistik der Wirtschaftskammer Österreich sind die Staatsschulden von Deutschland die letzten Jahre extrem gesunken (von 82% des BIP 2010 auf 56,8% des BIP 2020 approximiert).
Quelle: http://wko.at/statistik/eu/europa-verschuldung.pdf


Trading-Economics bestätigt diese Daten:
https://tradingeconomics.com/germany/government-debt-to-gdp


Auch die EZB Daten bestätigen dieses Bild:
https://sdw.ecb.europa.eu/reports.do?node=1000003885

Details für Feinspitze gibt es hier:
https://sdw.ecb.europa.eu/browse.do?node=bbn3885

Alle unterschiedlichen Quellen bestätigen, dass Deutschland seine Staatsverschuldung in den letzten Jahren im Vergleich zur Wirtschaftsleistung (Brutto-InlandsProdukt) extrem reduzierte.
Ob Deutschland Investitionsbedarf im Bildungs- oder Infrastrukturbereich hat, kann ich nicht beurteilen, ich habe dazu leider keine Quelle.

Auf alle Fälle sitzt die Bundesbank immer noch auf einer beachtlichen Menge an (derzeit ungedeckten) Target Forderungen (Wer weiß schon was die Zukunft bringt)?
https://de.statista.com/statistik/daten/studie/233130/umfrage/target2-salden-der-bundesbank/

2019-06-21

Normand & Anglo-Saxon (after battle of Hastings 1066)

Normand: Alors mon petit, apporte-moi du boeuf!
Anglo-Saxon: Beef, that's cow (Kuh), beef?

Normand: Si doux, prends moi des moutons!!
Anglo-Saxon: Mutton? That's lamb (Lamm), why mutton?

Normand: Hé ma chérie, apporte-moi du porc!!!
Anglo-Saxon: Pork? Thou mean swine (Schwein)?


2019-04-23

Meta grouping school modules & courses (working draft)

We want to learn more MINT module courses and kess dead languages at highschool & basic college [Draft, still in work]

  1. mathematics
    • basics
    • technically drawing geometry
    • spreadsheets & business calculation
    • logics
  2. languages
    • native or classroom/school language
    • mandatory english
    • optional foreign languages, e.g. french, spanish, german, chinese, ...
    • dead languages, e.g. latin, ancient greek
  3. geopolitics & economics
    • geography & earth science
    • local & foreign economics
    • local & foreign politics
  4. biochemistry
    • biology
    • environmental studies
    • dietetics
    • chemistry
  5. mechatronics
    • physics
    • IT OS user level & simple programming
    • electronics
    • mechanical engineering
    • combined mechatronics with LEGO mindstorms
  6. culture & aesthetics
    • history
    • music
    • art
    • aesthetics
  7. ethics
    • theory: religious & ideology studies, later psychology & philosophy
    • practice: solving religious, ideologically, gender or special needs problems, group dynamics, NLP, choice & option role games
  8. sports
    • basics [athletics. fitness & stamina training]
    • ball games [soccer, basketball, volleyball, handball, hardball, rugby, ...]
    • creative [impulse dance, monkey & pirate gymnastics, acrobatics, wrestling]
    • outdoor & elements [swimming, skating, ice-skating, cycling, climbing, military, horse riding, sports with dogs]
      please notice, that military, horses and hounds is only a final joke. please take not all 100% seriously, but try to understand the message

Mathematics





Geopolitics & Economics






Mechatronics

Instead of physics, IT and additional electronics, I would try to introduce a much more practical mechatronic light little bit more light weight module already in school by introducing something like Lego mindstorms: Children and young people can so easy learn, how to combine mechanics construction, electronics and IT programming with quick and boombastic results.







Culture & Aesthetics







Ethics

I would dump all religious courses in school and provide instead a mandatory ethic coursed for all children. Basic knowledge part of that course should include most important religions, ideologies (like socialism, democratic and totalitarian ideologies, imperialism, love movement of 68, deep state ethics, feminism and so on). At college level, we might include philosophy here too. 
Practial part should help to resolve cultural, gender, religious or any other ideologically based conflicts by playing role plays, visiting conflict areas in country, etc.

Strong religious believers could offer their childs excellent private courses during their free time, if they want. But mission in school is different, religion should be more in private and family / community space than in public education. (There are certain expensive private religious schools too, everyone is free to take that choice).






2019-04-21

Debt mystery of Luxembourg



All informations according to tradingeconomics.com:

In year 2017 GDP of Luxembourg amounted to 62,40 billion US$ (62.400.000.000 US$).
In year 2011 GDP of Luxembourg amounted to exactly 62 billion US$ (62.000.000.000 US$).

In year 2017 private sector debt of Luxembourg was 474,84% of GDP
62,4 * 4,4784 = 296,30016 billon US$ (296.300.160.000 US$)
In year 2011 private debt to GDP of Luxembourg was 407,9% of GDP.
62 * 4,079 = 252,898 billion US$ (252.898.000.000 US$)

In year 2017 public sector debt of Luxembourg was 23% of GDP.
62,40 * 0,23 = 14,352 billion US$ (14.352.000.000 US$).
In year 2011 public sector debt of Luxembourg was 18,8% of GDP.
62,40 * 0,188 = 11,7312 billion US$ (11.731.200.000 US$).

So,
in year 2017 public & private sector debt of Luxembourg amounted to 310,65216 billion US$ (310.652.160.000 US$).
In year 2011 public & private sector debt of Luxembourg amounted to 264,6292 billion US$ (264.629.200.000 US$).

In year 2017 population of Luxembourg was 590.000 citizen (habitants).
In year 2011 population of Luxembourg was 510.000 citizen (habitants).

So,
in year 2017 public + private debt per citizen amounted to 526.529,08 US$. (= 468.171,23 €)
In year 2011 public + private debt per citizen amounted to 518.880,78 US$. (= 461.370,63 €)
Private & public sector debt per citizen in Luxembourg amounts approximately to ½ million US$ (constantly between 2010 - 2018)
Quiet a very high amount per citizen, but dear Hans-Werner Sinn, how do you calculated in 2011 1,9 billion € (maybe trillion, cause german word Billionen means english trillion) of public sector + banking debt per citizen in Luxembourg?


Hans Werner Sinn debt calculation differs to tradingeconomics calculation by 380.000%. (That's really quiet a huge difference, in best case, when he meaned trillion it's another factor 1.000 => 380.000.000%)  


Debt comparsion with other countries in year 2017

Germany

Germany pub. + priv. 211,5% debt of 3.677,44 billion US$ GDP
7.777,7856 billion US$ = 7.777.785,6 million US$ total debt in Germany.
7.777.785,6 million US$ / 82,52 million citizen = 94.276 US$.
83.827 € total debt per german citizen.

Austria

Austria pub. + priv. 241,6% debt of 416,60 billion US$ GDP
1.006,5056 billion US$ = 1.006.505,6 million US$ total debt in Austria.
1.006.505,6 million US$ / 8,77 million austrian citizen = 115.690,30 US$
102.868 € debt per austrian citizen.
Austria gdp per capita = 49.129,23 US$
Austria gdp per capita ppp = 45.436,69 US$
Austria gdp per citizen = 47.340,90 US$
Austria gdp per gainfully employed (4,2605 million 82,78% in private sector, 17,21% in public sector) = 97.782 US$ (= 86.944,33 €)
Average income of employed in Austria is (45.345€ labor costs for company) 32.267€ before taxes, 22.640€ after taxes per year (2017).
How gdp per capita ppp is calculated? Are only working people included or retired people too?

Japan

Japan pub. + priv. 483% debt of 4.872,14 billion US$ GDP
23.532,4362 billion US$ = 23.532.436,2 million US$ total debt in Japan.
23.532.436,2 million US$ / 126,7 million japanese citizen = 185.734 US$.
20.787.295¥ debt per japanese citizen

United States

United States pub. + priv. 358,4% debt of 19.390,60 billion US$ GDP
69.495,9104 billion US$ = 69.495.910,4 million US$ total debt in United States.
69.495.910,4 million US$ / 325,7 million american citizen = 213.374 US$.
213.374 US$ debt per american citizen

Switzerland

pub. + priv. 296% debt of 678,89 billion US$ GDP
2.009,5144 billion US$ = 2.009.514,4 million US$ total debt in Switzerland.
2.009.514,4 million US$ / 8,5 million swiss citizen = 236.413,46 US$.
 236.413,46 US$ debt per swiss citizen

Ireland

Ireland pub. + priv. 450,27% debt of 333,73 billion US$ GDP
1.502,686071 billion US$ = 1.502.686,071 million US$ total debt in Ireland.
1.502.686,071 million US$ / 4,8 million irish citizen = 313.060 US$.
278.362 € debt per irish citizen



https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1HdcmVGGl0WJPWmcv3vqYp5I1lHNFon3yvK0inYzcL9Y/edit?usp=sharing

When looking at GDP per capita, we see that GDP calculaton is often a very big bullshit.
According to tradingeconomics an irish citizen yields almost twice the GDP per capita performance of average japanese citizen. Japan is an industrial export country with at huge positive balance of trade and current account, while Ireland's current account is tiny positive cause of tourism and US tech giants IT cloud services (like amazon cloud Ireland or Microsoft IT departments). Prices in Ireland are very high compared to the rest of euro-area. But blowing up GDP, by increasing prices is a very evil GDP magick in my point view (Really, really)! (And yes, high prices in Ireland are one reason for that "greater" GDP per capita, but that's not the only reason of this GDP distortion). On the other side, Germany artificially shrinks his GDP (according to all other macroeconomic indicators of Germany).

2019-04-14

ECB press conference April 2019


  1. Key interest (prime) rates will remain at 0% at least until the end of 2019.
  2. Inflation in the eurozone is expected little less than 2%.



  • Eurozone has no longer same substantial problems as in 2016, progress has been made.
  • Economic growth in the eurozone is still weak, and there are still geopolitical and other problems.
  • Structural reforms in many countries need to be continued. Member states should implement growth-promoting measures. (still a problem, that too few structural reforms and simultaneously avoiding growth friendly steps).

2017-07-12

macroeconomics indicators of Poland

Macroeconomics indicators of Poland are looking quiet OK compared to southern european countries!

government debt under Maastricht criteria

Poland recorded a government debt equivalent to 54.40 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product in 2016. Government Debt to GDP in Poland averaged 46.47 percent from 1995 until 2016, reaching an all time high of 55.70 percent in 2013 and a record low of 36.50 percent in 2000.
https://tradingeconomics.com/poland/government-debt-to-gdp

GDP per capita looks healthy

The Gross Domestic Product per capita in Poland was last recorded at 26003.01 US dollars in 2016, when adjusted by purchasing power parity (PPP). The GDP per Capita, in Poland, when adjusted by Purchasing Power Parity is equivalent to 146 percent of the world's average.
https://tradingeconomics.com/poland/gdp-per-capita-ppp

Current Account could be a little bit better, but is mostly balanced now

https://tradingeconomics.com/poland/current-account-to-gdp

Poland succeeded to lower unemployment rate since 2008 very well

https://tradingeconomics.com/poland/unemployment-rate
Main stock index the Warsaw Stock Exchange WIG is performing very well over the last 4 years, since other european stock indices were in trouble during the same time.
Source: https://www.bloomberg.com/quote/WIG:IND

Polish zloty has approximately same value as turkish lira


At least demographics of Poland (Population age pyramid) could be better and is not so balanced,
http://www.indexmundi.com/graphs/population-pyramids/poland-population-pyramid-2014.gif

2017-07-05

macroeconomics indicators of Norway

Macroeconomics indicators of Norway are looking very good compared to it's neighbors! 

Very low debts
Norway recorded a government debt equivalent to 35.60 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product in 2016.

https://tradingeconomics.com/norway/government-debt-to-gdp
GDP per capita looks healthy
The Gross Domestic Product per capita in Norway was last recorded at 64272.16 US dollars in 2015, when adjusted by purchasing power parity (PPP). The GDP per Capita, in Norway, when adjusted by Purchasing Power Parity is equivalent to 362 percent of the world's average.
https://tradingeconomics.com/norway/gdp-per-capita-ppp
Current Account and Balance of Trade generate quiet good surplus 
Norway recorded a Current Account surplus of 4.90 percent of the country's Gross Domestic Product in 2016. Current Account to GDP in Norway averaged 6.85 percent from 1980 until 2016, reaching an all time high of 16.20 percent in 2005 and a record low of -6.10 percent in 1986.
https://tradingeconomics.com/norway/current-account-to-gdp
https://tradingeconomics.com/norway/balance-of-trade

Unemployment rate is as low as US (much lower as euro-zone average with 9.2%)
Norway's seasonally adjusted unemployment rate edged up to 4.6 percent in the three months to May 2017 from 4.3 percent in the December-February period and above market expectations of 4.4 percent.
https://tradingeconomics.com/norway/unemployment-rate

Main stock index the Oslo Børs All Share Index (OSEAX) is performing very well over the last 4 years, since other european stock indices were in trouble during the same time.
 Yahoo Finance; goo.gl/CUASdx
Last but not least, demographics of Norway (Population age pyramid) are looking better than many other european countries (e.g. Germany).
http://www.indexmundi.com/norway/age_structure.html

2017-07-01

Was machen die USA, Kanada und Mexiko besser als die EU?

Wenn ich mir die Arbeitslosenzahlen in den USA, Kanada und Mexiko ansehen, dann liegen die gesamt gerechnet im Schnitt unter 5%.


Quelle: tradingeconomics.com
Im Vergleich dazu liegt die Arbeitslosenrate der Euro-Zone noch immer über 9%, siehe:
Quelle: tradingeconomics.com/euro-area/unemployment-rate

Auch die Demographien (Alterspyramiden) der Vereinigten Staaten, Kanada und Mexiko sehen weitaus gesünder aus, als die der meisten europäischer Staaten. Die Rentensysteme der USA, Kanada und Mexiko stehen auf sehr soliden Beinen und sind sehr nachhaltig gestaltet, nicht nur für Kinder, sondern auch bereits für Enkelkinder.
Quelle: www.indexmundi.com
Auch normalisieren sich derzeit die Leitzinsen auch in den Vereinigten Staaten von Amerika bereits wieder.
Quelle: www.leitzinsen.info

Also stelle ich provokant folgende Frage;
Was läuft jenseits des Atlantiks besser als in Europa (ohne Lichtgestalt wie Merkel und trotz Trump)?